2026 Projections

Preseason · every team’s current roster, optimal lineup off Sleeper’s weekly player projections, 6,000-sim Monte Carlo of the rest of the season · updated Sep 7

Preseason means everyone's undefeated and delusional. The roster math says Jake is the team to beat and roughly half of you should not be making plans for January.

#	Team	Pts/Wk	Proj. Record	Playoffs	Title	Last
1	Cold Bears on IcemanJake	133.7	8.8–5.2	88%	26%	0.4%
2	Kelce Diggs SwiftGabe	131.3	8.2–5.8	79%	22%	1.5%
3	God Damn JettsBlake	128.4	7.8–6.2	71%	13%	1.9%
4	Gibbs me your buttholeMike	127.0	7.6–6.4	65%	10%	3.1%
5	Sir Nix-A-LotTyler	124.2	7.2–6.8	56%	8.3%	4.7%
6	Love Brown SpearsScott	122.0	7.0–7.0	48%	5.1%	6.1%
7	Nacua MatataTrevor	122.4	6.6–7.4	42%	3.7%	10%
8	Cwoods51Cody	119.4	6.5–7.5	35%	2.3%	12%
9	Sleeper App Gambling BotBrad	121.3	6.3–7.7	34%	2.4%	12%
10	NFL YoungBoyBrett	123.3	6.2–7.8	35%	4.1%	12%
11	Cook’n in the HamptonsRyan	119.1	5.9–8.1	25%	1.7%	17%
12	Kim jong un's playersSean	117.1	5.8–8.2	23%	1.2%	20%

The Tape

1. JakeCold Bears on Iceman · proj 8.8 wins · 133.7 pts/wk · 26.3% title

12th last year, 1st now — the roster finally showed up.

QB Jalen Hurts 21.9RB Jonathan Taylor 19.6RB Bucky Irving 12.2WR Nico Collins 17.4WR Drake London 15.8TE Sam LaPorta 13.5DEF HOU DEF 7.3WR Tetairoa McMillan 14.0WR Christian Watson 13.7

2. GabeKelce Diggs Swift · proj 8.2 wins · 131.3 pts/wk · 22.3% title

Up from 7th to a projected 2nd. Enjoy it before the regression notices.

QB Joe Burrow 22.4RB Bijan Robinson 21.5RB Cam Skattebo 13.8WR A.J. Brown 16.8WR Mike Evans 12.8TE Trey McBride 15.6DEF SEA DEF 7.9WR Davante Adams 12.3WR Jordan Addison 11.2

3. BlakeGod Damn Jetts · proj 7.8 wins · 128.4 pts/wk · 12.5% title

Up from 8th to a projected 3rd. Enjoy it before the regression notices.

QB Caleb Williams 21.5RB Derrick Henry 15.7RB Rico Dowdle 12.5WR Amon-Ra St. Brown 19.8WR Tee Higgins 15.6TE Colston Loveland 14.2DEF PHI DEF 7.7RB Rhamondre Stevenson 11.8WR Khalil Shakir 11.4

4. MikeGibbs me your butthole · proj 7.6 wins · 127.0 pts/wk · 10.1% title

Quietly projects 4th after finishing 11th. Nobody's talking about you, which is how you like it.

QB Josh Allen 23.3RB Jahmyr Gibbs 23.7RB Chuba Hubbard 10.3WR Terry McLaurin 13.6WR Luther Burden 13.5TE Brock Bowers 16.0DEF LAR DEF 7.3WR DK Metcalf 11.9RB Rachaad White 10.3

5. TylerSir Nix-A-Lot · proj 7.2 wins · 124.2 pts/wk · 8.3% title

Quietly projects 5th after finishing 9th. Nobody's talking about you, which is how you like it.

QB Bo Nix 20.3RB De'Von Achane 17.5RB David Montgomery 13.9WR Justin Jefferson 16.8WR Jaylen Waddle 14.8TE George Kittle 10.1DEF DEN DEF 7.4WR Jayden Reed 13.1WR Rome Odunze 11.5

6. ScottLove Brown Spears · proj 7.0 wins · 122.0 pts/wk · 5.1% title

Down from 1st to a projected 6th — the window didn't close, it got bricked over.

QB Lamar Jackson 22.6RB Chase Brown 16.8RB Saquon Barkley 14.9WR Chris Olave 16.2WR Josh Downs 12.5TE Jake Ferguson 9.7DEF DET DEF 7.5RB Jaylen Warren 13.3WR Emeka Egbuka 11.7

7. TrevorNacua Matata · proj 6.6 wins · 122.4 pts/wk · 3.7% title

7 projected wins. Draft better.

QB Tyler Shough 19.6RB Ashton Jeanty 13.8RB D'Andre Swift 13.6WR Puka Nacua 20.5WR Rashee Rice 14.5TE Tyler Warren 13.9DEF PIT DEF 8.0WR Malik Nabers 13.8RB MarShawn Lloyd 10.9

8. CodyCwoods51 · proj 6.5 wins · 119.4 pts/wk · 2.3% title

Projected 8th, outside the cut. The roster says spectator.

QB Drake Maye 21.4RB Breece Hall 13.9RB Jeremiyah Love 13.3WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba 19.7WR DJ Moore 12.1TE Dallas Goedert 9.8DEF GB DEF 6.9RB Bhayshul Tuten 11.3WR Marvin Harrison 10.7

9. BradSleeper App Gambling Bot · proj 6.3 wins · 121.3 pts/wk · 2.4% title

Down from 4th to a projected 9th — the window didn't close, it got bricked over.

QB Jayden Daniels 20.8RB Javonte Williams 15.5RB Kyren Williams 14.4WR Ja'Marr Chase 19.7WR DeVonta Smith 14.9TE Dalton Kincaid 9.4DEF BAL DEF 7.6WR Garrett Wilson 13.5RB J.K. Dobbins 11.0

10. BrettNFL YoungBoy · proj 6.2 wins · 123.3 pts/wk · 4.1% title

Down from 2nd to a projected 10th — the window didn't close, it got bricked over.

QB Jaxson Dart 21.6RB Christian McCaffrey 21.0RB RJ Harvey 10.2WR George Pickens 16.6WR Jameson Williams 13.9TE Harold Fannin 11.6DEF NE DEF 6.7WR Stefon Diggs 11.4RB Jadarian Price 9.8

11. RyanCook’n in the Hamptons · proj 5.9 wins · 119.1 pts/wk · 1.7% title

17% to finish last. The other 83% is optimism.

QB Dak Prescott 21.1RB James Cook 17.1RB Omarion Hampton 15.6WR Zay Flowers 15.6WR Parker Washington 11.9TE Kyle Pitts 10.9DEF JAX DEF 8.5RB Travis Etienne 15.0WR Courtland Sutton 10.6

12. SeanKim jong un's players · proj 5.8 wins · 117.1 pts/wk · 1.2% title

20% to finish last. The other 80% is optimism.

QB Trevor Lawrence 20.1RB Kenneth Walker 16.0RB Quinshon Judkins 12.2WR CeeDee Lamb 17.1WR Ladd McConkey 13.3TE Tucker Kraft 10.9DEF LAC DEF 7.5WR Carnell Tate 11.8WR Michael Wilson 11.3

Projected points come from Sleeper’s weekly player projections with the optimal lineup set each week (bench points don’t count). Roasts by the house AI off each team’s real numbers.